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What the bird flu spread more by migrating birds or by people transporting infected poultry?

This is an issue discussed by the experts, and although it may not seem important, the answer makes a big difference in understanding how to stop the spread of avian influenza.

Some experts say that the main reason bird flu has spread from Southeast Asia to the Middle East, parts of Africa and much of Europe's migratory birds.

Wild ducks are the reservoir of influenza viruses of avian normal, which means it's normal to carry the flu virus differ in their intestines. Not normally affect ducks themselves, but can transmit it to chickens and other birds.

Supporters of this theory cite the coherence between the genetics of wild bird H5N1 dead around Qinghai Lake, China in spring 2005 and the H5N1 virus detected in dead birds found in Europe.

Some experts say that the flu virus Influenza is spread primarily by people. Internationally, by traffickers of exotic birds and poultry importers and exporters (often to avoid taxes and tariffs). Nationally, by business people in the transport industry of infected poultry birds from one place to another.

There is more money, planning and effort because we adapt our tactics and strategies in the fight against bird flu to what will be most effective.

If bird flu is mainly spread by migratory birds, we need to monitor and limit their contact with poultry.

If bird flu is mainly spread by the smugglers and transporters, we must kill the smugglers and closely regulate and testing of chickens and eggs before transporting and selling.

I'm no expert, but I am proposing idea that Indonesia is the perfect laboratory for testing the validity of these two theories.

Indonesia is perhaps the country geographically strange shape the world. He is faced with its northern neighbor, the Philippines and the Maldives. But it's 17,000 islands spread over thousands of square miles of ocean. In some islands, sharing space with other countries (East Timor, for example).

I'm sure someone with more resources than it could create a database to map data path avian influenza in Indonesia, and then compared with the two possible modes of transmission: wild birds and poultry companies.

And see that the hypothesis that best explains the facts:

Place all the islands, conspired with the longitude and latitude, with all major cities, regional market centers and towns have been no reports of bird flu.

Routes of migratory birds.

The locations of all known cases of bird flu human – with the dates of infection.

The locations of all known cases of avian influenza in poultry meat – along with the date of infection.

The locations of all known cases of wild birds for avian influenza – and the dates of their bodies were found.

From the genetic sequences of all known cases human bird flu – in collaboration with comparisons with other relatives Genetic sequences infections (found in Thailand, China, Cambodia and Vietnam).

From the genetic sequences of all known cases of bird flu chicken – with some comparisons with other Asian countries, as well as those found in migratory birds in the places which came before and after the roads in Indonesia found.

From the genetic sequences of all known cases Wildlife Avian influenza – With the comparison of all those found in migratory birds in areas that are performed before and after road Indonesia is.

All routes of transport in Indonesia, including roads, waterways, aircraft ferry and boat lines.

Transport routes chicken.

The most common travel routes for day travel day. Most people in the capital, Jakarta, travel only to rural areas, where they have relatives or vacation and holiday sites. Most rural residents are traveling alone or in Jakarta nearest regional market. (This is the norm in developing countries and Indonesia, geography and extreme ethnic diversity, it is highly unlikely that someone who moves from the rural province rural province of pleasure.)

Most common route of business travel from province to province, especially the transport of poultry and eggs.

Map this data in some data mining programs and soon clear that bird flu – Indonesia, anyway – is spreading through migratory birds transporting Chicken rights – or both.

About the Author:

c 2006 by Richard Stooker

Richard Stooker is the author of
How to Protect Yourself and Your Family From Bird Flu
and

Bird Flu Blog

Article Source: ArticlesBase.com – Indonesia Might Solve the Puzzle of Bird Flu Transmission

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